Forensic
Tools
The software that should have existed. Interactive forensic workstations built to the standard the research demands. Live market data. Auditable methodology. The stuff nobody is building.
tools deployed
development
price feeds
No subscription.
The Tool
Catalogue
Check
nobody wants to run
Every Bitcoin price target since 2016 has been a number without a model. ARK. Fidelity. VanEck. Fundstrat. None stated what the market cap would have to become. None asked whether that was structurally possible.
This tool asks. You enter your position. It calculates what Bitcoin’s market cap must reach to deliver your return — contextualised against things that actually exist. A 100× return requires Bitcoin to exceed every asset class on earth combined. The maths are not bearish. They are just honest.
Cherry Picker
Watch the argument collapse.
Maxis and sceptics agree on one thing: they never use the same date range. The maxi picks the 2018 crash bottom. The sceptic picks November 2021. Both are technically correct. Neither is honest.
This tool makes the cherry-pick visible. Pick any date range from 1 January 2017 to today. See the nominal return. Then see the real return — adjusted for CPI using FRED data — because a 300% gain in a currency that lost 25% of its purchasing power is not a 300% gain.
You Own Zero
your legal claim is exactly nothing
Under Salomon v Salomon [1897] and the Companies Act 2006, your legal entitlement to treasury Bitcoin is zero. Not reduced. Not diminished. Zero. Enter your investment. Receive the legal reality. UK presets: SWC, XCE, STAK. US comparison: Strategy (MSTR).
Calculator
the position actually break?
The liquidation price is not your risk. It is the exchange’s floor. Your stop-loss is your risk. Most retail traders have never consciously distinguished these two numbers. This workstation calculates exact liquidation price, plots it against stop and target, and runs six leverage tiers simultaneously. Long and short — both modelled.
Cycle Forensics
that remains after each compression
2013→2017: 17.1×. 2017→2021: 3.5×. 2021→2025: 1.83×. The compression is in the primary record. This tool applies a configurable decay factor to the last observed multiple and projects forward — including the Hard Truth preset that most cycle models are built to avoid showing you.
Ceiling Calculator
the cycle structurally break?
Every major cycle peak in Bitcoin’s history — 2013, 2017, 2021, 2025 — occurred inside the MVRV 3.7+ zone. When every coin is up 270% on average, aggregate selling pressure structurally overpowers incoming capital. This tool makes that threshold visible at current inputs.
Conditions Stack
The model runs them. You decide.
Daniel Krawisz coined hyperbitcoinisation as the inverse of hyperinflation — not a currency collapsed, but one voluntarily abandoned. This tool models the six structural conditions required for that scenario. It does not argue for or against the thesis. It identifies where the conditions stack sits at live inputs — and is honest about the one condition that can never clear.
Check
The XRP army dreams in thousands.
Jake Claver predicted $100 by end 2025. Missed. Then $1,500 by early 2026. Missed. Now $10,000 within 24 months. At max supply, that requires a $1 quadrillion market cap — more than double all human wealth ever created. The arithmetic is not opinion. It is arithmetic.
Forensic Lab
where does the risk-free rate sit?
Every DCA calculator treats mechanical monthly buying as the default optimal strategy. None benchmark against the risk-free rate. None ask what the money costs. This lab runs Static DCA against Volatility Capture simultaneously, benchmarked against the 5% annualised risk-free rate — so you can see what you are actually choosing between.
Illusion
never show you
BTC +18% vs gold +1.5% — the number they tweet. They never mention the denominator. Bitcoin’s outperformance is a liquidity effect, not a safe-haven signal. The same thin market that inflates the upside amplifies the downside with identical brutality. This tool makes the denominator visible.
Enter a pump scenario. Enter a crash scenario. The tool calculates exactly how much capital is required to move Bitcoin by that percentage — then shows what the same flow would do to the gold market. The comparison is not philosophical. It is arithmetic.
Reality Check
The denominator tells the truth.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs bought $1 billion of BTC this week. Also: someone sold them $1 billion of BTC this week. Every ETF purchase has a counterparty. The coins do not materialise. An authorised participant sources BTC from the market — a willing seller existed at market price. The ETF holds it. The seller holds cash.
$1 billion is approximately 0.05% of Bitcoin’s market capitalisation at current prices. It is a measure of wrapper adoption — who is choosing to hold BTC via a regulated vehicle rather than directly. It is not evidence of $1 billion of new institutional demand. Those are different claims. The headline makes one while the data supports the other. The tool shows you the difference.
Workstation
simulation — UK GAAP
The UK Bitcoin treasury conversation has been conducted almost entirely in US accounting terms. FRS 102 Section 18 is not GAAP ASC 350. Under the Cost Model, Bitcoin is an intangible asset. It cannot be written up when the price recovers. Every impairment is permanent. Trigger a large enough write-down and your last dividend becomes retrospectively unlawful.
Why These
Tools Exist
The Bitcoin space has two categories of tool: the promotional calculator that produces the number the issuer wants, and the absence of a calculator entirely. There is no third category. There was no market cap reality check. No return calculator adjusted for purchasing power. No leverage model distinguishing liquidation from stop-loss. No cycle model applying honest decay to honest multiples.
These tools were built because the research made their absence obvious. Every forensic report on this site required a calculation that no existing tool could perform honestly. The workstations are that infrastructure made public. Every tool is free. No email gate. No subscription paywall.
The Number Has To Be
Defensible. Start Here.
The tools run the arithmetic. These two publications build the discipline that makes it permanent. One teaches you to construct a model that survives a risk committee. The other deploys seven AI agents — each built on named intelligence, military, or financial doctrine — to run the analysis the model demands.
The Tools Are
The Starting Point
The research catalogue contains the forensic analysis that built these workstations. For bespoke modelling, institutional-grade briefings, or ongoing advisory engagement — the private practice is available.
